The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
Development issued their monthly joint report on August new house
sales on Thursday.
The July sales rate was itself revised downward from an original
estimate of 870,000 units. The stunning figure, however,
was the comparison of August 2007 data with that on sales one year
earlier....
According to Sudeep Reddy and Michael Corkery writing in The Wall
Street Journal, "The housing market is going into a deeper chill, and
consumers are starting to shiver."
Other market segments that are closely, even loosely tied to housing
construction and sales are beginning to report some distress. Monday,
Lowe's reduced its earnings outlook for this year
and...
Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist
commented that, "Mortgage rates were largely unchanged in the previous
week, with long-term rates lingering at lower levels not seen since May.
The recent retreat in mortgage rates has brought in an increased
volume of mortgage applications, according to the Mortgage
Bankers Association, and pushed the share of applications for refinancing
to the highest rate since April.
Probably no one who has read a paper or a website in the last 60 days
expected anything different, but the monthly report from the National
Association of Realtors (NAR) on Tuesday confirmed that once again the
sales of existing homes fell in August.
Total existing home sales which include single family homes, town
homes, condos, and co-ops...
Several Executive Branch surrogates indicated late last week that the
Administration was sort of willing to compromise about the role of
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in solving the current credit crunch. But the
announcements made and the methods proposed seem to this reporter to be
little, late, and misdirected. The two Government Sponsored Enterprises
(GSEs) - Freddie and Fannie - seemed a little confused
about what was happening as well.
...Then, on Saturday, the Wall Street Journal quoted a top regulator
(undoubtedly from OFHEO) who speculated that those
portfolio limits could be lifted in....
It seemed to smack a bit of desperation at the time, but in hindsight
it appears to look more like marketing genius.
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., one of the nation's
largest homebuilders, threw open the doors of literally thousands of its
newly built homes or those that were under construction last weekend and,
in what media has described as a fire sale, offered deep discounts,
sometimes in the six figure range, to buyers ready to make a deal.
Housing starts in August hit the lowest level on an
annualized basis since July 1995 The news would have been even worse if
it were not for a substantial increase in activity in multi-
family housing starts. Construction on projects with...
Even before the Federal Reserve's on Tuesday Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market
Survey showed another dramatic downturn in both long and
short term interest rates for conventional mortgages.
One day after the Fed cut rates and the House of Representatives
approved FHA Reform, the Senate Banking Committee
approved legislation that would expand the ability of the FHA to insure
mortgages, including higher-risk borrowers.
The Federal Reserve slashed benchmark interest rates
by a half point in an agressive move to prevent the economy from moving
into recession and to ease the pains of the housing bubble. The decision
to cut the overnight federal funds rate from 5.25% to 4.75% was
unanimous. This is the lowest level since May of 2006 and the first time
the Fed has cut interest rates since June 2003. It was the first 1/2
point cut since November of 2002.